Friday, May 18, 2007

Power Rankings

It's been a little while since I posted one of these, and now you're going to get two! I started the article on Friday evening, added the top-25 spreadsheet, and never got around to finishing and posting it. Well, right after the results were posted on Saturday, I added all the new results into the Power Rankings sheet and came up with the revised numbers. So, now what do I do? Do I just go ahead and delete the article already started? And then the answer hit me...why not just post BOTH lists so we can see how the week's racing affected it?!










  • That's pretty tough when you win a race...and drop 13 points. Broken Dream's G2 win was only worth 3.15 points, so that put a big hurt on her average points score. Then the race strength only checked in at 3.46, causing a significant drop in her average race strength.
  • Isca's Revenge is creeping up on first...by sitting on the sidelines. Only three races so far this year. I know they already faced once (and Broken Dream won it fairly easily), but wouldn't it be nice to see them go again?
  • The first actual change in the order of the list comes from a horse that also won this week (and dropped a spot), Scenic Sheba. Same situation as Broken Dream. Her G2 win was only worth 1.8 points, and the race strength was only 1.37.
  • Next comes the big gainer on the week, Bold N' Honorable. A G1 win worth 9 points, and a short field that gave him his best race strength score of the year, 2.87, did the trick.
  • The big drop for the week goes to Victory Dance. Despite a race that kept her average race strength faily stable, scoring 0 points (4th place finish) caused a big enough drop in her average points to cause her to tumble 5 spots.
  • We had one horse dropping out of the top-25, Arctic Memories, and one horse joining, Confederation. Arctic Memories is actually in the 26th spot now at 4.91. It's a bit of tough luck for Arctic Memories, as he picked up 3.6 for his G2 win causing his average points to increase slightly. He ended up getting his lowest race strength of the year though, .95, causing a big enough overall loss to drop him out of the top-25. Confederation takes advantage by finishing second his last two starts in big point races to top-25 horses (Jenny's My Gal and Bold N' Honorable).